Friday, March 20, 2009

Taking a gain

Learning from my last trade to get out in the green because I dont know what next week will bring, closed out at ~$127..

Thursday, March 19, 2009

Fighting the trend

I was stopped out of my short Oil DUG trade earlier in the week ending slightly lower,...taking another contrarian approach with the SKF today at $113..more to come

Thursday, March 5, 2009

DUG

I initiated a position in the DUG yesterday before the markets close while Oil rallied on China Stimulus Speculation and less domestic supply. I left the trade open through tomorrow with a +10% cushion, I still think Oil at $43.70 is at the top end of the 6 week trend...I expect Oil to continue to sell off tomorrow especially considering the extreme weakness in the US equity market and lack of clarity surrounding further stimulus in China...Well also see another unemployment number tomorrow and if jobless claims are once again higher than expected it will only expedite the sell off..

Today T. Boone Picken's said well see $60 oil before we see $39, obviously my money is on the $39 mark but well see..

As far as equities this extreme freefall looks like it will take us to 600 level in the S&P... 50 on the S&P Earnings x a 12 Multiple gets you 600, still a giant leg down to go...